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NASA on the importance of being uncertain
Way, way back in 2011 NASA published the first volume of their planned two volume epic on system safety titled strangely enough “NASA System Safety Handbook Volume 1, System Safety Framework and...
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On the difficulty of counting black swans*
Or how do we measure the unknown? The problem is that as our understanding and control of known risks increases, the remaining risk in any system become increasingly dominated by the ‘unknown‘. The...
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The Black Swan of American Politics
Image source: AP/LM Otero A Trump presidency in the wings who’d have thought! And what a total shock it was to all those pollsters, commentators and apparatchiks who are now trying to explain why they...
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